Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.3% | 35.7% | -3.2 | ✗ (24.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +21 (81-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Keith Stone * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| KeVaughn Allen * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jalen Hudson * | 22 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Kevarrius Hayes * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Deaundrae Ballard | 17 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Stokes | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Noah Locke | 13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Mike Okauru | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dontay Bassett | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.J. Walker * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| PJ Savoy * | 27 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Terance Mann * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Trent Forrest * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Christ Koumadje * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| David Nichols | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Mfiondu Kabengele | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Raiquan Gray | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Polite | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Devin Vassell | 6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Wyatt Wilkes | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Harrison Prieto | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Justin Lindner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Will Miles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Travis Light | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter