Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.5% | 12.5% | -10.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -22 (61-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 36 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 34 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Cam Reddish * | 34 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 33 | 10-12 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 32 | - |
| Marques Bolden * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jack White | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Antonio Vrankovic | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Gibbs | 37 | 4-15 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Prentiss Hubb | 36 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| John Mooney | 31 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| D.J. Harvey | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Nikola Djogo | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Chris Doherty | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dane Goodwin * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Nate Laszewski | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter