Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.7% | 15.3% | -9.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -15 (64-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Reddish * | 38 | 4-16 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 37 | 10-24 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 8 | - |
| Jack White * | 35 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 33 | 11-13 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 27 | - |
| Marques Bolden * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Justin Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Johnson * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Trey McGowens * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Au'Diese Toney * | 30 | 2-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Terrell Brown * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Malik Ellison * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Sidy Ndir | 28 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jared Wilson-Frame | 26 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kene Chukwuka | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kham Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter