Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.2% | 18.8% | -8.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -2 (78-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 40 | 10-19 | 4-7 | 8-9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 15 | - |
| Tre Jones * | 40 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Cam Reddish * | 32 | 9-15 | 5-8 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 17 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jack White | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terance Mann * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Phil Cofer * | 34 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Trent Forrest * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| M.J. Walker * | 24 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Christ Koumadje * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mfiondu Kabengele | 25 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 25 | - |
| PJ Savoy | 14 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| David Nichols | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Raiquan Gray | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Polite | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Devin Vassell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter