Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +7.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +11 (69-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett Culver * | 35 | 9-21 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Matt Mooney * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Tariq Owens * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Davide Moretti * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Norense Odiase * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Brandone Francis | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Kyler Edwards | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Deshawn Corprew | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 39 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| R.J. Barrett * | 39 | 7-22 | 0-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | -6 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier * | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Cam Reddish * | 20 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Jack White | 32 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter