Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.1% | 97.9% | +21.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +33 (91-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruner * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Alex Copeland * | 26 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Miye Oni * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Blake Reynolds * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Trey Phills * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Azar Swain | 20 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Paul Atkinson | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Gabbidon | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Williams | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matthue Cotton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Kelly | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Thomas Ryan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Wyatt Yess | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.J. Barrett * | 36 | 9-19 | 3-9 | 9-12 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Tre Jones * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Cam Reddish * | 25 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jack White | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 21 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Justin Robinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Antonio Vrankovic | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter