Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Clemson Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | -0.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Clemson Tigers -2 (79-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Williams * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Coby White * | 36 | 9-16 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 35 | 6-11 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Luke Maye * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Nassir Little | 17 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Huffman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sterling Manley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Clemson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelton Mitchell * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Clyde Trapp * | 32 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Marcquise Reed * | 31 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Aamir Simms * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Elijah Thomas * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| John Newman | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Hunter Tyson | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Javan White | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Trey Jemison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter