Model Predictions
| Model | Nebraska Cornhuskers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.5% | 87.5% | +10.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +15 (91-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nebraska Cornhuskers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Palmer * | 39 | 11-24 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 12 | - |
| Glynn Watson * | 38 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Isaiah Roby * | 37 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Amir Harris * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tanner Borchardt * | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nana Akenten | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Brady Heiman | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Thorir Thorbjarnarson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Justin Costello | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Johnny Trueblood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Winston * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 29 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 28 | 8-13 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 23 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 22 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Conner George | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Braden Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brock Washington | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jack Hoiberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter