Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +18 (62-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleb Wesson * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Andre Wesson * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C.J. Jackson * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Musa Jallow * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Luther Muhammad * | 21 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8 | - |
| D. Washington Jr. | 24 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Keyshawn Woods | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Young | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Justin Ahrens | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaedon Ledee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Joey Lane | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Hoiberg | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 37 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 33 | 3-15 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 29 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Conner George | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter