Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +24 (79-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Kalscheur * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Murphy * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Amir Coffey * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Daniel Oturu * | 23 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Dupree McBrayer * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brock Stull | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Matz Stockman | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Washington | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jarvis Omersa | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Hurt | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt McQuaid * | 33 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 29 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 24 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Conner George | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Braden Burke | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brock Washington | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jack Hoiberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter