Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | +4.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Winston * | 39 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 5-9 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carsen Edwards * | 38 | 4-19 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Cline * | 35 | 6-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Nojel Eastern * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Grady Eifert * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Trevion Williams * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Matt Haarms | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Aaron Wheeler | 16 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| E. Hunter Jr. | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Sasha Stefanovic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter