Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✓ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +18 (77-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carsen Edwards * | 36 | 3-16 | 2-13 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -9 | - |
| Ryan Cline * | 31 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Nojel Eastern * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Grady Eifert * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Evan Boudreaux * | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Trevion Williams | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| E. Hunter Jr. | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Wheeler | 13 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Sasha Stefanovic | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Matt Haarms | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Winston * | 36 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 29 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Aaron Henry | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 22 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Conner George | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter