Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +26 (81-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Taylor | 32 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Taylor * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Miller Kopp * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Dererk Pardon * | 27 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Vic Law * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Turner * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Gaines | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Pete Nance | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Barret Benson | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Greer | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Aaron Falzon | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Washington | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 25 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens * | 21 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 20 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Aaron Henry | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Conner George | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jack Hoiberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Braden Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter