Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Langford * | 37 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens * | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 28 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Henry | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| KeVaughn Allen * | 31 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | -1 | - |
| Keith Stone * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kevarrius Hayes * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Noah Locke * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Deaundrae Ballard | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Hudson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson | 15 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dontay Bassett | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Stokes | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Okauru | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter