Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.9% | 25.1% | -6.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +4 (82-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Ahrens * | 41 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 34 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 30 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Aaron Henry | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nwora * | 39 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 6-9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Sutton * | 37 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. Cunningham * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Perry * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Enoch * | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Williams | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. McMahon | 20 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 12-13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| K. Fore | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| V.J. King | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Agau | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
* = starter