Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.2% | 47.8% | -0.5 | ✓ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins -20 (67-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt McQuaid * | 28 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 26 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 25 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 21 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Henry | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Wilkes * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Jaylen Hands * | 26 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Prince Ali * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Moses Brown * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Hill * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Smith | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| David Singleton | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Cody Riley | 17 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jules Bernard | 17 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Kenneth Nwuba | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter