Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Poole * | 38 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Zavier Simpson * | 34 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Livers * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jon Teske * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ignas Brazdeikis * | 22 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Eli Brooks | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Johns Jr. | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Colin Castleton | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| David Dejulius | 7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Austin Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Nuñez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner George | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 39 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 31 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 8-9 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter