Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -7 (70-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Winston * | 40 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 13-14 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 38 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 37 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zavier Simpson * | 40 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Poole * | 35 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Ignas Brazdeikis * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Jon Teske * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Charles Matthews * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Isaiah Livers | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Eli Brooks | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| David Dejulius | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Johns Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter