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2019-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 70.5% 29.5% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 39.3% 60.7% +2.4 (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 60.0% 40.0% -
Efficiency 85.8% 14.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.3% 16.7% -
Log Adjusted 83.3% 16.7% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +15 (74-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Simpson * 37 3-8 0-5 4-4 8 7 0 0 3 10 14 -
C. Matthews * 36 2-12 2-7 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
I. Brazdeikis * 35 6-15 2-4 2-4 6 1 3 0 2 16 9 -
J. Poole * 27 5-12 3-9 3-3 2 1 1 0 3 16 5 -
J. Teske * 13 4-7 0-1 0-1 8 1 0 1 0 8 11 -
I. Livers 14 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 1 -
E. Brooks 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Johns Jr. 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Davis 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Castleton 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
D. DeJulius 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Nuñez 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wieskamp * 33 6-10 1-3 3-4 7 2 5 0 1 16 19 -
J. Bohannon * 28 2-6 2-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 8 3 -
T. Cook * 25 2-9 0-0 3-6 8 0 0 1 2 7 5 -
I. Moss * 23 0-7 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 -3 -
L. Garza * 21 8-12 1-3 2-4 8 0 0 2 1 19 16 -
R. Kriener 22 6-9 1-1 2-4 10 1 1 0 2 15 16 -
N. Baer 19 1-2 1-2 2-2 6 1 0 2 0 5 12 -
C. McCaffery 17 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
M. Dailey 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -

* = starter