Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -15 (67-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Winston * | 35 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 34 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Conner George | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brock Washington | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jack Hoiberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Cook * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Bohannon * | 34 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Luka Garza * | 26 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Joe Wieskamp * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Moss * | 18 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Nicholas Baer | 21 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Connor McCaffery | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Kriener | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Maishe Dailey | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Riley Till | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter