Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +22 (90-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Cook * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Moss * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Bohannon * | 25 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Joe Wieskamp * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Luka Garza * | 22 | 1-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Connor McCaffery | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Maishe Dailey | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Kriener | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Nicholas Baer | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Riley Till | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Langford * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 30 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 23 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Henry | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Braden Burke | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Conner George | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jack Hoiberg | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter