Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.5% | 37.5% | -2.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Winston * | 38 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 38 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach McRoberts | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Romeo Langford * | 37 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Juwan Morgan * | 37 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Justin Smith * | 34 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Rob Phinisee * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Al Durham * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Devonte Green | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| De'Ron Davis | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Zach McRoberts | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Race Thompson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter