Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -4 (75-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clifton Moore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Romeo Langford * | 41 | 6-18 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Al Durham * | 37 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Justin Smith * | 36 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Rob Phinisee * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Juwan Morgan * | 13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Devonte Green | 34 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| De'Ron Davis | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jake Forrester | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Evan Fitzner | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Damezi Anderson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Winston * | 44 | 9-22 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 37 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 26 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 31 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 27 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter