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2019-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 63.9% 36.1% -
Bradley-Terry 44.4% 55.6% -
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 (21.8 off)
Pythagorean 74.3% 25.7% -
Efficiency 94.9% 5.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.8% 9.2% -
Log Adjusted 90.8% 9.2% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -23 (46-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Matthews * 35 3-10 2-6 2-4 11 2 0 0 3 10 10 -
J. Poole * 34 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 1 3 1 2 6 5 -
Z. Simpson * 33 5-9 0-3 2-2 6 5 0 0 2 12 12 -
J. Teske * 29 4-8 1-3 2-2 3 0 1 2 0 11 9 -
I. Brazdeikis * 27 8-12 3-5 1-1 7 1 0 1 1 20 16 -
I. Livers 20 1-7 1-4 2-3 6 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
E. Brooks 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
B. Johns Jr. 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
L. Wilson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C.J. Baird 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Nuñez 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. DeJulius 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Mcroberts 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Morgan * 36 6-12 0-1 4-6 12 0 2 4 3 16 19 -
J. Smith * 31 3-8 1-4 0-2 3 0 1 0 1 7 2 -
R. Phinisee * 30 2-12 2-6 0-2 7 2 3 0 1 6 5 -
R. Langford * 25 3-12 0-2 3-5 5 1 0 0 1 9 2 -
Z. McRoberts * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Al Durham 32 1-7 0-1 4-5 5 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
E. Fitzner 13 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
D. Anderson 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter