Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +21 (90-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach McRoberts | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Romeo Langford * | 35 | 3-15 | 0-4 | 7-10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Al Durham * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Juwan Morgan * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Justin Smith * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Rob Phinisee * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Devonte Green | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Evan Fitzner | 17 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Zach McRoberts | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| De'Ron Davis | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Damezi Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake Forrester | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Clifton Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 29 | 11-15 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 22 | - |
| R.J. Barrett * | 27 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Marques Bolden * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Cam Reddish * | 22 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 2-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Jack White | 30 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Antonio Vrankovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter