Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +1 (73-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romeo Langford * | 38 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Al Durham * | 36 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Juwan Morgan * | 23 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Rob Phinisee * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Justin Smith * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Damezi Anderson | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| De'Ron Davis | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Evan Fitzner | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Jones * | 38 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Isaiah Joe * | 33 | 5-15 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 31 | 12-15 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Jalen Harris * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Adrio Bailey * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Keyshawn Embery-Simpson | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Chaney | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Desi Sills | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gabe Osabuohien | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter