Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +1 (73-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Langford * | 38 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Al Durham * | 36 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 3 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 23 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| R. Phinisee * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Smith * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | - |
| D. Anderson | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Davis | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| E. Fitzner | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jones * | 38 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| I. Joe * | 33 | 5-15 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| D. Gafford * | 31 | 12-15 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 26 | - |
| J. Harris * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Bailey * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Embery-Simpson | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Chaney | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Sills | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| G. Osabuohien | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter