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2019-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% -
Bradley-Terry 29.5% 70.5% -
Margin 30.1% 69.9% +4.6 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 28.8% 71.2% -
Efficiency 2.3% 97.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.5% 97.5% -
Log Adjusted 2.5% 97.5% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +17 (73-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Dosunmu * 30 4-9 1-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 9 0 -
A. Feliz * 29 3-7 1-4 2-3 2 2 0 0 1 9 5 -
A. Jordan * 25 2-7 1-3 2-2 6 1 0 2 0 7 9 -
G. Bezhanishvili * 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 2 2 2 -
D. Williams * 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 3 5 -
T. Frazier 26 3-13 2-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 8 -2 -
K. Nichols 17 2-8 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 4 2 -
T. Jones 16 3-7 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 7 2 -
A. Griffin 15 1-4 1-2 4-4 4 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
S. Kane 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Edwards * 40 8-14 2-5 5-8 2 0 2 1 6 23 8 -
R. Cline * 38 1-6 0-4 0-0 8 7 2 0 3 2 10 -
N. Eastern * 33 5-10 0-0 4-5 6 6 2 0 1 14 17 -
M. Haarms * 32 8-8 1-1 4-4 10 1 0 5 0 21 29 -
G. Eifert * 32 4-7 2-3 1-3 6 2 1 0 0 11 13 -
T. Williams 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
A. Wheeler 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Hunter Jr. 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
S. Stefanovic 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter