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2019-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 33.2% 66.8% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 31.8% 68.2% +4.2 (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 68.7% 31.3% -
Efficiency 93.2% 6.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.9% 7.1% -
Log Adjusted 92.9% 7.1% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -10 (69-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Poole * 39 2-10 1-6 5-6 0 1 1 0 1 10 1 -
Z. Simpson * 38 6-13 2-4 2-2 5 8 2 0 2 16 16 -
J. Teske * 33 5-8 1-3 2-2 11 4 0 4 0 13 24 -
C. Matthews * 32 5-11 0-1 4-6 4 0 0 0 3 14 4 -
I. Brazdeikis * 31 5-11 1-2 4-5 8 1 1 1 3 15 12 -
I. Livers 22 4-8 0-3 1-1 5 1 0 1 1 9 7 -
E. Brooks 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
A. Davis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Nichols * 37 4-10 1-3 0-1 4 4 1 1 1 9 8 -
T. Frazier * 37 5-10 3-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 6 13 4 -
A. Dosunmu * 33 10-16 2-4 1-2 7 2 2 2 3 23 17 -
G. Bezhanishvili * 29 6-11 0-1 3-4 4 0 0 0 3 15 5 -
A. Jordan * 19 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 3 5 -
D. Williams 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 2 3 -
A. Feliz 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. De La Rosa 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Griffin 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter