Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.8% | 38.2% | -2.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +8 (73-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dosunmu * | 36 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| G. Bezhanishvili * | 33 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 12 | - |
| A. Jordan * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 27 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Nichols * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Williams | 25 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Feliz | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. De La Rosa | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Griffin | 7 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Mcroberts | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| R. Langford * | 37 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 11-15 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 23 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| D. Green * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. Smith * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Al Durham * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Z. McRoberts | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| E. Fitzner | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Davis | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Anderson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter