Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +8 (73-65). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 36 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Giorgi Bezhanishvili * | 33 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Aaron Jordan * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Trent Frazier * | 27 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Kipper Nichols * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Da'Monte Williams | 25 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Andres Feliz | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Adonis De La Rosa | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alan Griffin | 7 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach McRoberts | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Romeo Langford * | 37 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 11-15 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Juwan Morgan * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Devonte Green * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Justin Smith * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Al Durham * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Zach McRoberts | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Evan Fitzner | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| De'Ron Davis | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Damezi Anderson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter