Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Diong * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Joel Ntambwe * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Kris Clyburn * | 22 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Noah Robotham * | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Amauri Hardy | 29 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Bryce Hamilton | 11 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Trey Woodbury | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tervell Beck | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cheickna Dembele | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Jordan * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A. Dosunmu * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Nichols * | 25 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| G. Bezhanishvili * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Feliz | 29 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| S. Kane | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Williams | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Griffin | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Underwood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter