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2018-09-07

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Margin 28.2% 71.8% +5.1 โœ“ (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +13 (89-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kristi Toliver 27 2-11 1-8 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 5 -5 -
Elena Delle Donne 25 4-11 0-1 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 10 4 -
Tianna Hawkins 24 1-4 0-3 3-4 7 1 1 1 1 5 10 -
Ariel Atkins 23 10-14 1-2 2-2 1 1 2 0 0 23 13 -
Natasha Cloud 22 3-7 1-4 4-4 2 5 0 0 1 11 10 -
Aerial Powers 17 1-4 0-2 4-4 3 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
L. Sanders 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 0 -
M. Currie 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
Myisha Hines-Allen 11 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 8 8 -
K. Thomas 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart 32 7-14 1-3 7-8 3 5 1 0 2 22 15 -
Alysha Clark 29 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 5 1 0 1 8 13 -
Natasha Howard 28 8-9 0-0 3-3 5 1 0 2 1 19 17 -
Jewell Loyd 27 9-12 3-3 2-2 5 2 3 0 0 23 21 -
S. Bird 24 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 7 1 0 1 4 10 -
Sami Whitcomb 17 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 5 0 -
Jordin Canada 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 2 1 -
C. Langhorne 10 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
K. Mosqueda-Lewis 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Paris 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Mercedes Russell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Quinn 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter