Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.1% | 8.9% | -12.8 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -5 (81-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 38 | 8-19 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 2 | - |
| Elena Delle Donne * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| LaToya Sanders * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Natasha Cloud * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Ariel Atkins * | 30 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 10 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Breland * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Renee Montgomery * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Brittney Sykes * | 26 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Alex Bentley | 23 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Monique Billings | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Blake Dietrick | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Imani McGee-Stafford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter