Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +4 (91-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner | 39 | 11-18 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Briann January | 34 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 33 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 16 | - |
| B. Griner | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 27 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Robinson | 10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jewell Loyd | 37 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Breanna Stewart | 36 | 9-18 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 35 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Bird | 33 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 32 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Mosqueda-Lewis | 6 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Paris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter