Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -10 (86-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 40 | 10-21 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 23 | - |
| B. Griner | 38 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 27 | 25 | - |
| B. January | 35 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 10-16 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| S. Talbot | 33 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Y. Turner | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Robinson | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| J. Thomas | 35 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| C. Williams | 33 | 11-23 | 4-5 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 14 | - |
| J. Jones | 26 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Tuck | 9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Banham | 9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter