Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.9% | 90.1% | +12.2 | ✓ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +32 (96-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker * | 31 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 30 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Riquna Williams * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 26 | 2-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Essence Carson | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Maria Vadeeva | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Karlie Samuelson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 35 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Elena Delle Donne * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Natasha Cloud * | 31 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 11 | - |
| LaToya Sanders * | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Ariel Atkins * | 22 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Monique Currie | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter