Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +18 (101-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 38 | 8-19 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 10 | - |
| A. Gray | 37 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Cambage | 35 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 24 | - |
| K. Thornton | 30 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| G. Johnson | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Lucas | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Stevens | 13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. George | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| L. Romero | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 37 | 12-19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 24 | - |
| B. Griner | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| S. Talbot | 32 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| B. January | 31 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 8-15 | 6-12 | 4-4 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Y. Turner | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Peters | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Little | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter