Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -3 (92-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Tucker * | 44 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | - |
| James Harden * | 43 | 11-26 | 3-12 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 41 | 10-20 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 11 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 40 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Clint Capela * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Eric Gordon | 34 | 4-14 | 1-8 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Gerald Green | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 45 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 43 | 9-24 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 39 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 38 | 10-26 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 9 | - |
| Kevon Looney * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Bell | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Nick Young | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Quinn Cook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter