Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.4% | 44.6% | -1.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -13 (87-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clint Capela * | 37 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 26 | - |
| James Harden * | 36 | 8-22 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 5 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 35 | 12-23 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 24 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 34 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 31 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Eric Gordon | 25 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Gerald Green | 12 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ingles * | 40 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 38 | 8-24 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 33 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Raul Neto | 17 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Danté Exum | 10 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Alec Burks | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter