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2018-05-12

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 9.6% 90.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.2% 88.8% - โœ“
Margin 7.5% 92.5% +13.8 โœ“ (21.2 off)
Pythagorean 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.4% 92.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.4% 92.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.8% 79.2% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Mystics +35 (91-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pohlen-Mavunga 24 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 2 -2 -
J. Gwathmey 21 2-5 0-2 1-1 2 0 0 3 0 5 5 -
Erica McCall 21 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
Tiffany Mitchell 18 2-6 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 3 6 0 -
Candice Dupree 17 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
Kelsey Mitchell 13 1-4 0-2 7-7 2 3 1 0 1 9 10 -
K. Alexander 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 0 4 -
Victoria Vivians 11 1-5 0-0 0-2 2 0 2 0 2 2 -1 -
B. Graves 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
S. Mavunga 11 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 4 4 -
E. Wheeler 9 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 4 1 -
N. Achonwa 9 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 1 0 5 5 -
H. Ben Abdelkader 8 2-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 -2 -
A. Peterson 7 1-2 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 5 2 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Peters 28 2-4 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 4 5 -
A. Taylor 25 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Natasha Cloud 18 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 2 4 0 0 5 11 -
M. Currie 17 3-5 1-1 5-6 2 3 1 0 0 12 13 -
Ariel Atkins 15 2-6 1-3 1-1 0 2 0 0 0 6 2 -
K. Thomas 14 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 6 6 -
Elena Delle Donne 12 5-10 1-4 4-4 4 1 0 1 0 15 11 -
Myisha Hines-Allen 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 2 5 -
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough 11 3-11 2-6 0-2 4 0 2 0 1 8 2 -
A. Hightower 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Tianna Hawkins 11 7-12 0-3 1-2 6 1 0 1 1 15 10 -
Kristi Toliver 9 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
A. Alix 8 4-5 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 10 4 -

* = starter