Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +16 (74-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 27 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Breland | 24 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Williams | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Sykes | 23 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 22 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| M. Lucas | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Dietrick | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Billings | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Elonu | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Engram | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Hayes | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Thomas | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Tuck | 21 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| C. Williams | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Thomas | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 16 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. Banham | 15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Bentley | 15 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| B. Jones | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Brown | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Laney-Hamilton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. George | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Romero | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. January | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter