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2018-05-08

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 16.5% 83.5% -
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% -
Margin 22.3% 77.7% +6.9 (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun +21 (79-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Davis 22 6-14 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 12 -1 -
A. Stevens 19 0-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 0 -2 -
R. Hamblin 18 5-10 1-1 1-2 7 2 0 1 2 12 10 -
G. Johnson 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
A. Gray 17 2-7 0-1 3-4 2 0 2 0 0 7 4 -
L. Cambage 17 3-7 0-0 5-6 9 1 1 2 3 11 14 -
K. Thornton 16 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
S. Chong 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
Diggins-Smith 12 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 0 -5 -
E. Akhator 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 1 2 6 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 10 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 3 0 -
L. Goodwin 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
B. Lewis 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 4 0 -
N. Butler 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 0 2 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Tuck 23 3-8 0-2 4-4 1 2 1 0 1 10 5 -
C. Williams 20 9-10 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 18 11 -
S. Stricklen 18 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 3 1 -
A. Thomas 18 0-3 0-0 0-4 12 5 1 0 4 0 11 -
B. Laney-Hamilton 18 3-5 0-1 2-2 6 0 3 0 1 8 11 -
C. George 18 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 0 2 0 2 4 3 -
J. Thomas 17 4-10 1-3 3-3 4 1 0 0 4 12 3 -
B. Jones 16 0-4 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 1 0 1 5 -
A. Bentley 13 1-7 1-6 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 3 -2 -
R. Banham 12 4-6 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 10 5 -
L. Brown 11 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
N. Greene 8 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 1 0 5 5 -
J. January 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Romero 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter