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2018-05-08

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 76.0% 24.0% -
Bradley-Terry 72.7% 27.3% -
Margin 72.2% 27.8% -5.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 67.3% 32.7% -

Actual: New York Liberty +6 (81-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Wiese 34 5-12 3-8 0-0 9 4 1 0 2 13 13 -
E. Carson 31 6-13 1-3 1-2 2 0 1 1 2 14 3 -
C. Pondexter 26 7-15 0-0 3-3 2 5 0 1 4 17 6 -
S. Thomas 23 4-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 9 7 -
K. Jensen 22 2-6 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
M. Bass 20 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
K. Samuelson 20 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
B. McCarty-Williams 13 0-2 0-1 3-3 2 3 0 0 1 3 5 -
K. Westbeld 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
G. Ortiz 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Reimer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Coleman 29 5-10 2-3 2-2 4 3 0 1 0 14 12 -
K. Nurse 23 7-13 3-6 2-4 2 1 1 0 1 19 9 -
R. Gray 22 4-12 0-1 3-3 14 1 1 1 2 11 14 -
K. Faris 21 5-5 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 10 9 -
L. Allen 19 3-4 1-1 2-2 3 3 0 1 0 9 12 -
K. Morgan 18 2-5 0-2 2-2 2 3 1 0 0 6 7 -
M. Russell 18 1-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 2 3 -
S. Rodgers 17 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 0 -
S. Murphy 15 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
L. Robinson 11 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 1 2 -
S. Schimmel 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

* = starter