Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Nelson | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Harden | 23 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 22 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| M. Guelich | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| I. Wright | 21 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Alexis Prince | 21 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Briann January | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. White | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 28 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 27 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 27 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 23 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| S. Bird | 23 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 17 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| T. Muldrow | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Hillsman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. McPhee | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Crvendakic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter