Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.6% | 25.4% | -5.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -7 (69-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Thornton | 31 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Azurá Stevens | 30 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 27 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Lewis | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. Chong | 8 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| R. Hamblin | 8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 6 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| E. Akhator | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Goodwin | 6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Cambage | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Butler | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Murphy | 29 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| L. Robinson | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mercedes Russell | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Faris | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 25 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| S. Zellous | 11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 8 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Morgan | 7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tina Charles | 7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Coleman | 7 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 7 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 6 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter