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2018-05-07

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 61.7% 38.3% -
Bradley-Terry 66.1% 33.9% -
Margin 72.6% 27.4% -5.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 66.1% 33.9% -

Actual: New York Liberty -7 (69-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Thornton 31 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 2 2 0 3 4 4 -
A. Stevens 30 8-11 3-4 0-0 9 0 1 1 1 19 18 -
K. Davis 27 3-8 0-2 1-4 5 2 0 0 0 7 6 -
B. Lewis 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 9 1-5 0-0 4-4 0 1 0 0 1 6 1 -
S. Chong 8 2-6 1-3 1-1 4 3 2 0 0 6 9 -
R. Hamblin 8 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 6 7 -
A. Gray 6 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
E. Akhator 6 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
L. Goodwin 6 1-5 0-2 1-2 3 1 2 0 5 3 -1 -
Diggins-Smith 5 2-4 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
L. Cambage 5 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
N. Butler 3 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 4 -1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Murphy 29 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
L. Robinson 28 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
M. Russell 27 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
K. Faris 25 1-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
S. Schimmel 25 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 3 -3 -
S. Zellous 11 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 1 2 4 3 -
S. Rodgers 8 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 8 4 -
K. Morgan 7 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 3 1 -
T. Charles 7 2-4 1-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 7 7 -
M. Coleman 7 6-12 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 14 4 -
K. Nurse 7 2-5 0-2 6-7 4 1 0 0 3 10 7 -
R. Gray 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 1 -
L. Allen 6 3-3 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 7 6 -

* = starter