Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.9 | ✓ (25.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +29 (96-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Strawberry * | 33 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Desmond Ringer * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Demetre Rivers * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Ross Cummings * | 27 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Stephon Jelks * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Johnson | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaylen Stowe | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Cohen | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mac Brydon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smart * | 36 | 8-20 | 4-13 | 11-12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 25 | - |
| J. Duffy * | 33 | 11-16 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 22 | - |
| M. Miller * | 30 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| R. Woolridge * | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Z. Simmons * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| DJ Draper | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Arikawe | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Lawson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Holston | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Fuller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter