Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +14 (71-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Leslie * | 40 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 9-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 20 | - |
| A. Konig * | 40 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Ealey * | 37 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Nelson * | 35 | 2-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | - |
| A. Maize * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Rogers | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Cole | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Cassell | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Crutchfield | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McCowan * | 37 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 30 | - |
| V. Vivians * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. William * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Schaefer * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Bibby | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Danberry | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Holmes | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Z. Campbell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Tate | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Garvin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter