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2018-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Elon Phoenix NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% +5.7 โœ“ (21.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 29.8% 70.2% - โœ“
Margin 11.9% 88.1% +11.0 โœ“ (16.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.7% 92.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.0% 93.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.0% 72.0% - โœ“

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +27 (62-35). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Burnett 33 4-10 3-4 1-2 6 4 1 0 3 12 10 -
L. Mercer 26 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
S. Munford 24 1-5 0-2 1-2 1 2 2 0 3 3 0 -
R. White 21 2-8 0-0 1-2 5 0 2 3 3 5 4 -
M. Garner 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
J. Graves 19 0-5 0-3 1-4 3 1 0 0 1 1 -1 -
J. Powell 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
M. Johnson 14 1-10 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 -5 -
E. Maupin 9 1-2 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
A. Popovic 9 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
A. Colon 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Konig 35 5-9 2-6 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 12 11 -
K. Ealey 32 2-2 0-0 3-4 4 3 2 0 5 7 9 -
A. Maize 29 2-10 0-0 4-5 7 1 0 4 2 8 8 -
Kiara Leslie 29 5-8 2-4 1-2 4 2 1 0 2 13 10 -
C. Nelson 25 3-7 1-1 2-4 12 0 0 0 2 9 12 -
A. Hawkins 14 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 -
E. Cassell 12 3-4 2-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 9 10 -
D. Rogers 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 -
K. Crutchfield 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
N. Cole 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Wadsworth 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter