Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | +2.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: California Golden Bears -6 (62-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Willoughby | 35 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Brown | 34 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Huland El | 29 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| D. Toussaint | 27 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| F. Aiyeotan | 26 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| L. Moses | 22 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| L. Jablonowski | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Tinsley | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 39 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| A. Thomas | 38 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| M. Cowling | 34 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. West | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| P. Davidson | 31 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Brown | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Styles | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Yue | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Mosley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter